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The author expresses concern about AI replacing software engineers but finds hope in human ambition and the desire to create new products and companies, questioning the competitive advantage in a future where AI can generate any application.
AI 生成摘要
作者表達了對 AI 取代軟體工程師的擔憂，但從人類的雄心和創造新產品、新公司的渴望中找到希望，並質疑在 AI 能生成任何應用程式的未來中，競爭優勢何在。
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The title is not a statement, it’s a wish. I’m writing this blog not because I have some profound knowledge about what the future holds, but to gather my thoughts around the subject, because everywhere I look, people are talking about it. Whatever app I open, people are talking about the same thing, they’re either worried that AI will replace them, they’re sharing “success” stories about how they built apps with only AI and no engineering background or that AI is still too dumb to replace anyone.
I’m in the first category, I am afraid that I will end up being replaced, that I’ll find myself without a job and that my only option will be applying to work as a cashier at McDonalds. There’s one thing that gives me hope though, and that is human drive and a little bit of greed.
Let’s imagine a future where AI is so good at writing software that you can one shot any app. You want to edit photos?“Generate a photoshop clone.”You’re not satisfied with you current browser?“Generate a Chrome clone that will allow me to block all ads”.If anyone can write any application they want, what’s the endgame? Will software companies just cease to exist? All that’s gonna be left are 3 big companies competing to provide models to everyone?
And this is where the drive and the greed makes an appearance. Perhaps it’s not always money that motivates people, but one thing is for certain, people will always want to build new products, build new companies, disrupt markets and earn a lot of money. But if anyone can do anything with AI, what’s going to be the competitive advantage? Why should I use someone else's software when I can build my own? And if your product starts to be slightly successful, what’s stoping me from prompting an AI to build a clone of your product so that I can compete with you? And that, I naively believe will always be people, not because they can write better software than AI, but because people are innovative and unpredictable, and they will come up with a way to be competitive.
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